Power-based bike pacing
Triathlon Bike Split Calculator
Estimate a realistic race bike split from FTP, intensity factor, W/kg, course profile, and setup before you commit to the whole race plan.
Controlled 70.3 effort
02:56:28
Projected bike split
Watts
187 W
Speed
30.6 km/h
W/kg
2.49
TSS
179
Bike split checks
- Speed is estimated from broad modifiers, not a course-file physics simulation.
Connect this to the race plan
How to use the result
Start with a recent FTP, choose a race distance, and keep intensity factor conservative enough that the run still exists. The calculator turns the power target into watts, W/kg, estimated speed, split time, and bike TSS.
- Use lower IF for Ironman than 70.3 or Olympic racing.
- Treat hilly, windy, or technical courses as run-risk multipliers.
- Use TSS as a warning, not a medal for riding hard.
Example race read
A 220 W FTP athlete riding a 70.3 at 0.78 IF targets about 172 W. If the course is rolling and the setup is average, the projected split should be checked against the run-off-bike calculator before calling the plan aggressive or realistic.
Common mistakes
The most expensive mistake is chasing a bike split in isolation. A fast ride that creates high TSS, missed fueling, or a heavy first 5 km of the run is not a good triathlon split. The right bike target protects total finish time.
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How this page should be used
Last updated
July 13, 2026
Maintained by
M Imtinan Farooq
Status
Planning estimate, not a race guarantee
Formula summary
Target watts = FTP x IF; TSS = hours x IF squared x 100; speed uses broad modifiers.
Key assumptions
FTP, body mass, course profile, and setup are realistic for the race.
Limitations
Not a GPS course-file physics model and not a CdA/Crr/wind simulation.