Power-based bike pacing

Triathlon Bike Split Calculator

Estimate a realistic race bike split from FTP, intensity factor, W/kg, course profile, and setup before you commit to the whole race plan.

km
W
kg

Controlled 70.3 effort

02:56:28

Projected bike split

Watts

187 W

Speed

30.6 km/h

W/kg

2.49

TSS

179

Bike split checks

  • Speed is estimated from broad modifiers, not a course-file physics simulation.

Connect this to the race plan

How to use the result

Start with a recent FTP, choose a race distance, and keep intensity factor conservative enough that the run still exists. The calculator turns the power target into watts, W/kg, estimated speed, split time, and bike TSS.

  • Use lower IF for Ironman than 70.3 or Olympic racing.
  • Treat hilly, windy, or technical courses as run-risk multipliers.
  • Use TSS as a warning, not a medal for riding hard.

Example race read

A 220 W FTP athlete riding a 70.3 at 0.78 IF targets about 172 W. If the course is rolling and the setup is average, the projected split should be checked against the run-off-bike calculator before calling the plan aggressive or realistic.

Common mistakes

The most expensive mistake is chasing a bike split in isolation. A fast ride that creates high TSS, missed fueling, or a heavy first 5 km of the run is not a good triathlon split. The right bike target protects total finish time.

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Trust and methodology

How this page should be used

Last updated

July 13, 2026

Maintained by

M Imtinan Farooq

Status

Planning estimate, not a race guarantee

Formula summary

Target watts = FTP x IF; TSS = hours x IF squared x 100; speed uses broad modifiers.

Key assumptions

FTP, body mass, course profile, and setup are realistic for the race.

Limitations

Not a GPS course-file physics model and not a CdA/Crr/wind simulation.

Full formulas, source notes, and limitation details are maintained on the methodology page. Use official race guides for event rules, cutoff times, venue policies, and safety instructions.